Back in October of last year, the picture being painted by the media was that of a ‘blue wave’ coming to sweep away Republican control of Congress, and with it any chance of appointing more conservatives to the Supreme Court.
At that time, the Democrat generic ballot advantage was as high as 15 points, virtually guaranteeing Speaker Pelosi.
But then, all of that changed…very quickly.
That number started dropping like a led balloon, hastened all the more by the successful passage of the GOP tax cut.
Now the latest poll has come out showing the Dems’ advantage is down to a single point.
What’s instructive about that is that in previous midterm elections in which Republicans won decisively, the Dem advantage was at least five points.
Bottom line: the Democrat Party is looking at a big loss in November unless they can pull out of the nosedive soon.
Here’s more from Hotair.com…
The old conventional wisdom: What if Democrats take back both chambers of Congress this fall?
The new conventional wisdom: What if Republicans never lose another election?
Seriously, it’s a cinch that the GOP will lose House seats this fall. The growing mystery is whether they’ll lose enough to actually return Nancy Pelosi to power. Yesterday CNN found the Democratic advantage on the generic ballot down to three points. Today Reuters finds it down to one. Given the feel-good spectacle this morning of Trump and Pence greeting American hostages on their return home from North Korea, it’s quite possible that a poll next week will show the GOP even — or ahead! — on the generic ballot. On Christmas Day 2017, they trailed by 13 points on average.
