The road to the House majority runs through only 11 races, according to an aggregate of election handicappers.
270towin, which compiles race ratings from the top five polling aggregate and analysis outlets, has identified just 11 House races in seven states for which Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, FiveThirtyEight, and Split Ticket agree that the outcome could wind up favoring either the Republican or the Democratic candidate.
“To arrive at the consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, tilt, toss-up),” 270towin explains. “From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one. Only states rated safe by at least four of the forecasts are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.” Read more…
