f you thought primary election season was finished teaching valuable lessons ahead of the November elections, then you thought wrong. With the recent contests in Florida and New York, the GOP just received a dire warning about its midterm prospects with all the subtlety of a New Year’s Eve celebration in Times Square.
Up to now, it was common knowledge that the Republican Party was destined to crush the Democrats in a decisive landslide this November in both houses of Congress. After all, it is the historical midterm pattern that has proven itself time and time again; with just four exceptions since the Civil War, the president’s party always loses seats in a midterm election. Both the Senate and the House seemed ripe for the taking.
Indeed, if the election had been held back in May or June, this would have been the case. At the height of the inflation crisis and the simultaneous historic spike in gas prices, Republicans pulled off an upset victory in a special election that saw Texas’ 34th congressional district flip red for the first time in over 100 years.
And yet, just two months later, the GOP has seen its fortunes flipped. Read more…