Has anyone informed Politico or Morning Consult that voters are already beginning to cast votes in the midterms? In some places in Pennsylvania, voting started on September 19. Four states will start tomorrow: Minnesota, South Dakota, Virginia, and Wyoming. Voters in Illinois and Michigan can begin filing their general-election ballots starting tomorrow.
So why do pollsters like Morning Consult and sponsors like Politico still report registered-voter outcomes? Perhaps it’s because the news is bad enough for Democrats on that basis:
The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted Sept. 23-25, surveying 2,005 registered voters. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 2 percentage points.
In other findings, the poll also found Biden’s approval rating dropping to just 41 percent, with 56 percent disapproving. That’s down from 46 percent in last week’s poll – which had represented Biden’s 2022 high-water mark. Read more…