In the latest survey conducted by the Economist/YouGov, former President Donald Trump is exhibiting significant strength, particularly among independent voters, in a hypothetical matchup against President Joe Biden. While the overall figures indicate a narrow gap, with Biden at 44 percent and Trump at 43 percent, it is among independents that Trump takes the lead, boasting 40 percent compared to Biden’s 37 percent. Notably, the survey reveals that Biden’s approval rating is underwater, with 54 percent disapproving and only 40 percent approving, and this discontent is more pronounced among independents, where 61 percent express disapproval.
The survey delves into the perception of who would win in a Trump-Biden matchup, irrespective of personal preference. Across all respondents, 45 percent believe Trump would emerge victorious, while only 32 percent lean towards Biden. Among independents, Trump holds a substantial 25-point advantage on this question, leading Biden 44 percent to 19 percent. This margin has expanded by 10 points in just the last week, signaling a growing sentiment in favor of Trump’s potential success.
Conducted from January 14 to 16 among 1,660 U.S. adult citizens, the survey reflects a broader trend of Trump’s dominance in various polls and events like the Iowa Caucuses, where he secured an unprecedented nearly 30-point margin of victory. Noteworthy endorsements from key figures like Vivek Ramaswamy, Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who recently exited the presidential race, have further solidified Trump’s standing and momentum heading into the New Hampshire primary. The survey outcomes underscore the enduring appeal and political potency of Donald Trump, especially among independent voters who play a pivotal role in shaping electoral outcomes.
